Ko kana ndikakuudza kuti musika wenzombe wakasimba weBitcoin ungangove uri pedyo? Ipfungwa inonakidza, handizvo here? Nekutaura kwese kuri munyika yezvemari, kufanotaura kuri kubhururuka kuruboshwe uye kurudyi, asi zita rimwe chete rinomira pachena: Arthur Hayes. Anozivikanwa nokuda kwemaonero ake anokwezva, anotenda kuti Bitcoin inogona nokukurumidza kuwana pasi payo pa $ 70,000, uye handigoni kubatsira asi kufunga kuti zvinorevei kune isu tose tinobatanidzwa muchiitiko chekristpto.
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Arthur Hayes uye Mhedziso Yake
Ngatitangei nekuburitsa zvishoma kuti Arthur Hayes ndiani. Ndinoreva, pane zvakawanda kwaari kupfuura kungova aimbova CEO we cryptocurrency exchange BitMEX. Mutengesi ane ruzivo uye ane hunyanzvi hwekugadzira nzira dzemari. Chiitiko chake mune ese echinyakare uye crypto misika inomupa yakasarudzika maonero. Saka paanotaura, ndinozviwana ndave kuteerera.
Hayes akaita basa rakakosha mukuumba indasitiri. Anonzwisisa kushanduka kwemaitiro emari yekristpto kupfuura mazhinji. Maonero ake anowanzo kuuya akazadzwa nedoro rechokwadi, iro vamwe vangadaidza kuti pragmatism, uye ndinotenda izvozvo.
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Mamiriro eBitcoin: Muchidimbu Muchidimbu
Bitcoin yanga iri nhaurwa yedhorobha kana pamwe kunyange pasirese kweanopfuura makore gumi ikozvino. Ndiyo yekutanga cryptocurrency uye iyo yakagadzira nhanho yemazana akatevera. Pane dzimwe nguva, rinonzwa sechinhu chipenyu, chinofema chine mafambiro nekudzika kwayo.
Nerwendo rweBitcoin, takaona kukwira kwemitengo yemusango uye kuderera kunokatyamadza zvakaenzana. Ndinoyeuka payakambokwira mudenga pedyo nemadhora makumi matanhatu 60,000, ichingodonha pedyo nemadhora zviuru makumi matatu pasina nguva refu. Zvakafanana nokutasva bhiza, uye kufara, pamwe chete nekuzvidya mwoyo, kunodhaka. Kunzwisisa kusagadzikana uku kwakakosha, kunyanya kana ndiri kufunga nezvekutora chikamu - mune zvemari kana neimwe nzira.
Ikozvino Bitcoin Landscape
NeBitcoin parizvino iri kutengeserana nemadhora zviuru makumi mashanu, inguva yakakosha. Ndinowanzo shamisika, izvo zvinotisiya kupi? Vazhinji vanoisa mari vari kutarisisa kumberi kweiyo inotevera shanduko huru, asi manzwiro anogona kukwira kumusoro kana zvasvika pakufungidzira.
Maitiro emusika achangoburwa andisiya ndichifunga kuti tasvika pakuenzanisa here kana kuti tichiri kufambisa rwendo rwenguva pfupi. Arthur Hayes akaverenga kuti mhedziso isingadzivisiki yekutenderera iyi inogona kutitenderedza iyo inonakidza $70,000 mamaki.
Kufanotaura kwaHayes: Pazasi pamadhora makumi manomwe emadhora
Zvino, ngatitarisei pane zviri kutaurwa naHayes nezveBitcoin ichirova pasi payo pa70,000 $. Vamwe vangakwenya misoro yavo; mushure mezvose, izvo zvichiri kunzwa zviri nani zvichienzaniswa nekuderera kwayo kwenhoroondo. Asi kune mumwe munhu akaita saHayes, uku hakusi kungotaura chete - fungidziro yakaverengerwa yakavakirwa pakuongorora kwakakura kwemusika.
Kunzwisisa Musika Dynamics
Kuti tinyatsonzwisisa kuti nei Hayes asvika pamhedzisiro iyi, isu tinofanirwa kufunga nezve musika wekuchinja. Mushure mezvose, nyika ye cryptocurrency haishande muvacuum. Zvizhinji zvezvinhu zvinopesvedzera mafambiro emusika.
Supply uye Demand Factors
Handikwanise kusimbisa zvakakwana kuti yakakosha sei musimboti wekupa uye kudiwa mune ino mamiriro. Kana pane kudiwa kwakawanda pane kugovera, mitengo inowanzokwira. Zviitiko zveBitcoin kupatsanura nehafu zvinoderedza mibairo yezvicherwa hazvingokwidzi kushomeka kwayo chete asi zvakare zvakatungamira kune bhizinesi maitiro mushure mechiitiko. Inonongedzera kuchokwadi chakakosha chemisika-kushomeka kunogona kutyaira kukosha.
Regulatory Kufurira
Tinofanirawo kufunga nezvekutonga nyika. Vimba neni, pandinoti inogona kukanganisa musika senge pretzel. Mitemo inogona kusimbisa kana kutadzisa kuvimba kwemusika. Mitemo yakachengeteka uye inotsigira inogona kuvhura mikova yekudyara kwemasangano, nepo maitiro ekudzora anogona kuomesa cheni yekugovera.
Global Economic Climate
Zvakare, maonero ehupfumi hwenyika haagone kufuratirwa. Kana misika yechinyakare ichidonha, vanhu vanogona kutarisa kune mamwe midziyo seBitcoin. Ndinofunga kumashure apo goridhe rakawedzera panguva yekusagadzikana kwehupfumi; Bitcoin dzimwe nguva inoonekwa muchiedza chimwechete semhando yedhijitari yegoridhe.
Iyo Bull Market Signal
Zvino, ngatibatanidzei madotsi nemaonero aHayes pane ramangwana rakanaka. Chii chingaratidza kutanga kwemusika uyu wakasimba wenzombe?
Institutional Investment
Imwe yeakakosha metrics yekutarisa idanho rekufarira kwemasangano. Nemakambani makuru anogovera zvikamu zvemari yavo yepfuma kuBitcoin, zvinounza kutendeseka uye kuvimba patafura. Pane chimwe chinhu chinofanira kutaurwa chekuve mukambani yemakambani akaita seMicroStrategy uye Tesla. Kana ndakangwara, ndinoteerera kune vatambi vakuru vari kuisa mabheti avo.
Retail Investor Sentiment
Kune zvakare chimiro chevatengesi vezvitoro - isu vanhu venguva dzose. Sezvo manzwiro anochinja uye vanhu vazhinji vanonyura munzvimbo ye crypto, mhedzisiro inogona kuve yakakura. Social media buzz uye hype inogona kunyatso kukwidza kufarira muBitcoin, kutyaira mitengo yakakwira.
Technological Progress
Uye ngatirege kufuratira kukurumidza kumhanya kwekufambira mberi kwetekinoroji mu blockchain tekinoroji. Innovations inogona kukwezva vashandisi vazhinji uye maapplication, ichigadzira ivhu rakaorera remafambisirwo ekuita.
Njodzi Nekufunga
Kunyangwe pandinofunga nezvetariro iyi yetarisiro, handigone kubatsira asi kufunga nezve njodzi dzinogona kuvanda mumimvuri.
Musika Volatility
Nzou mukamuri ndiyo Bitcoin kunyanyisa volatility. Ini ndinotenda zvakasimba kuti kunyangwe zvingangowanikwa zvichikwezva, njodzi dzakakosha zvakaenzana. Ini ndinofanira kunge ndakagadzirira kukurumidza kudonha uye kutenderera.
Regulatory Ngozi
Nzvimbo yekudzora, sezvatotaurwa, inogona kuchinja nehusiku humwe. Imwe misstep mupolicy inogona kutumira shockwaves pamusika wese. Ndizvo chaizvo kusafungira uku kunoita kuti ndingwarire kana ndichifunga nezvekudyara kwenguva refu.
Ngozi dzeTekinoroji
Panewo njodzi dzine chekuita nehunyanzvi hwetekinoroji. Kutyorwa kwekuchengetedza kana kukanganisa kwetekinoroji kunogona kuve nemhedzisiro inoparadza. Takaona kuchinjana kuchibiwa, uye zvikwama zvichikanganiswa. Ndinochengeta zvidzidzo izvozvo pamwoyo.
Iyo $70K Bitcoin Inorevei Kwandiri?
Ko kufanotaura kwaHayes kunofanira kuitika, izvi zvingarevei kwandiri? Nezvemari, inogona kushandura mamwe misoro. Musika wemombe unogona kugadzira mikana inoshandura hupenyu hwepurofiti, zvichigona kushandura mamiriro angu emari.
Portfolio Zvinoreva
NeBitcoin inofamba ichienda kune iyo $70,000 mamaki, ndinogona kutanga kufunga nezve yangu portfolio zano. Kuchenjera here kubata uye kutasva masaisai? Kana kuti ndinofanira kufunga nezve kusiyanisa zvakare?
The Psychological Aspect
Pachinhanho chepfungwa, pane chimwe chinhu pamusoro pekupupurira musika wenzombe unoisa pfungwa yekuvimba. Mufaro wokuona kudzoka kune utano unogona kudhakisa. Nekudaro, manzwiro anogona kuve muvengi wangu akaipisisa mukudyara. Kugara mumusoro-soro kwakakosha.
Zvinogoneka Alternative Scenarios
Hongu, kufungisisa zvingangoitika kunorevawo kufunga nezvezvimwe zvinhu. Bitcoin haitevedze nzira yakatwasuka.
The Bearish Case
Ko kana Hayes asina kururama? Musika unogona kungozvigadzirisa zviri nyore. Takaona mabhubhu ekufungidzira muzvikamu zvakasiyana, uye mutengo uri kukwira weBitcoin hauzvidzivirire kubva mukuputsika.
Market Saturation
Pane njodzi yekuzara kwemusika sezvo vatambi vazhinji vanopinda munzvimbo ye crypto, zvichigona kudzikisa hutongi hwemusika weBitcoin.
Global Economic Factors
Uye sezvandakataura, zvinhu zvehupfumi zvepasi rose zvinogona kugadzira dutu reBitcoin. Kuderera kwehupfumi, inflation, kana zviitiko zvikuru zvezvematongerwo enyika zvinogona kuzunungusa chivimbo chemuridzi.
Mazano ekufambisa Musika
Sezvo ini ndichifungisisa pamusoro pezviwoko izvi, handigone kubatsira asi kufunga nezve nzira yakanakisa yekufambisa mvura yakaoma yekudyara kwecryptocurrency. Heano mazano mashomanana akandishandira.
Ita Research Your
Ndisati ndapinda, ndinoita kuti ndigare ndiine ruzivo. Ruzivo ishamwari yangu yepamoyo mune ino inogara ichishanduka mamiriro. Kugara uchifambirana nemaitiro, nhau, uye zviitiko zvakakosha zvakakosha.
Siyana Nehungwaru
Ndinotenda zvakasimba mukukosha kwekusiyana-siyana. Pamwe Bitcoin ndiye mutambi wangu wenyeredzi, asi kuve nemusanganiswa wemidziyo kunogona kudzivirira kusagadzikana.
Dzidzira Kushivirira
Munyika yekudyara, kushivirira chinhu chakanaka. Ndinozviyeuchidza kuti dzimwe nguva, zvishoma nezvishoma uye zvakatsiga zvinokunda mujaho. Kazhinji ndiwo maonero enguva refu anobhadhara.
Ramba Wakabatana Nepfungwa
Ndakadzidza kuti manzwiro akawanda sei anogona kukanganisa kutonga kwangu. Kuchengeta kusanzwanana kunobatsira kudzikisira njodzi dzekuvhunduka-kutengesa kana kutsvairwa muFOMO (kutya kurasikirwa).
mhedziso
Sezvandinofungisisa Arthur Hayes 'fanotaura kufanotaura simba nzombe musika mberi Bitcoin, Ndinonzwa musanganiswa kufara uye kungwarira. Pane imwe nguva, zvinoratidzika kuti rombo rakanaka rinofarira vakashinga; pane dzimwe nguva, zvinonzwa kuchenjera kushandisa kungwarira.
Icho chiitiko chekuenzanisa, kufambisa kuomarara kweBitcoin uye cryptocurrency investments. Asi, ini handikwanise kuramba kunzwa kwekutarisira sezvandinofunga pamusoro pezvingave zviri mberi, ingave iri $70,000 Bitcoin kana chimwe chinhu chakasiyana zvachose.
Misika inogona kunge isingafungidzike, uye ndoziva kuti ndinofanira kugara ndakasvinura, ndine ruzivo, uye ndakagadzirira kubatikana nemikana ndichinyatsofunga nezve njodzi dziripo. Kunyangwe kufanotaura kwaHayes kunobata chokwadi kana kwete, chinhu chimwe chakajeka: hurukuro yakatenderedza Bitcoin iri kure nekupedza. Ini ndinoda kuramba ndichiteerera, kudzidza, uye kugadzirisa.
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