Predicting Bitcoin’s Bull Run Values: Plan B’s S2F Model and Ledn CIO’s $92,000 Target

March 19, 2024 | by


In an attempt to forecast the potential value of Bitcoin’s next bull run, two prominent figures in the crypto space have put forward their predictions. Plan B’s S2F (Stock-to-Flow) model, which measures the scarcity of assets, suggests that Bitcoin could reach an astounding value of $100,000 by the end of this year. On the other hand, the Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of Ledn, a Bitcoin financial services platform, has set a slightly lower target of $92,000. As investors eagerly await the next surge in Bitcoin’s price, these projections offer valuable insights into the potential growth of the cryptocurrency market.


Bitcoin has been on a bull run in recent years, with its value reaching new heights and grabbing the attention of investors around the world. The question on everyone’s mind is: how high can it go? In this article, we will explore two different perspectives on Bitcoin’s future value. First, we will delve into Plan B’s S2F model, which has gained significant popularity for its predictions. Then, we will examine Ledn CIO’s $92,000 target and the factors influencing this optimistic projection.

Overview of Bitcoin’s Bull Run

Bitcoin’s bull run refers to the period of time when its price drastically increases, resulting in considerable gains for investors. The cryptocurrency has experienced several of these bull runs since its creation in 2009, with the most recent one occurring in 2020 and continuing into 2021. This surge in value has captivated the attention of both seasoned investors and newcomers to the cryptocurrency market.


Plan B’s S2F Model

Plan B, a pseudonymous financial analyst, developed the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model as a tool for predicting Bitcoin’s future price movements. The S2F ratio is calculated by dividing the total supply of Bitcoin by the yearly production of new coins. According to Plan B’s model, Bitcoin’s scarcity, as represented by the S2F ratio, is a crucial factor in determining its value.

Explanation of the S2F Model

The S2F model operates on the assumption that scarcity drives value. According to this theory, assets with limited supply and high demand tend to increase in price over time. Plan B argues that Bitcoin’s fixed supply, capped at 21 million coins, and the halving events that occur approximately every four years, impact its scarcity and therefore its value. These halving events result in a reduction in the rate at which new coins are produced, further lowering the S2F ratio and theoretically driving the price upwards.


Key Assumptions of the S2F Model

Plan B’s S2F model relies on several critical assumptions. Firstly, it assumes that Bitcoin’s supply will remain capped at 21 million coins, which is a fundamental characteristic of the cryptocurrency. Additionally, the model assumes that Bitcoin will continue to attract sufficient demand to sustain its value. Furthermore, it assumes that the halving events will continue to affect the S2F ratio and consequently drive the price higher. While these assumptions have held true in the past, their certainty for the future remains a topic of debate.

Accuracy and Criticisms of the S2F Model

The S2F model has gained a considerable following due to its accurate predictions of Bitcoin’s price movements in the past. However, it also faces criticism from skeptics who question the model’s reliability. These critics argue that Bitcoin’s value is influenced by a multitude of factors beyond scarcity, such as market sentiment, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic conditions. They believe that the S2F model oversimplifies the complexity of the cryptocurrency market and its drivers.


Ledn CIO’s $92,000 Target

Ledn CIO, Mauricio Di Bartolomeo, has recently made headlines with his bold prediction that Bitcoin’s price could reach $92,000. Di Bartolomeo’s target is significantly higher than what Plan B’s S2F model suggests. As the Chief Investment Officer of a financial institution specializing in Bitcoin lending, Di Bartolomeo bases his projection on a thorough analysis of market trends and investor behavior.

Factors Influencing the $92,000 Target

Di Bartolomeo’s $92,000 target is influenced by several key factors. He takes into account Bitcoin’s growing adoption by institutional investors, which has the potential to push the price higher. Additionally, he considers the increasing interest from retail investors and the wider public, who are drawn to Bitcoin’s potential as a hedge against inflation and a store of value. Di Bartolomeo also factors in the impact of ongoing monetary stimulus measures and the potential for negative real interest rates, which could drive investors towards Bitcoin as an alternative investment.


Comparison of Plan B’s S2F Model and Ledn CIO’s Target

While both Plan B’s S2F model and Ledn CIO’s $92,000 target offer insights into Bitcoin’s future value, they take different approaches and draw on distinct factors. Plan B’s model focuses primarily on scarcity and the S2F ratio as indicators of value, while Ledn CIO’s target incorporates broader market trends, investor behavior, and macroeconomic factors. These differing perspectives highlight the multifaceted nature of Bitcoin’s valuation and the diverse analyses that contribute to its projections.


As Bitcoin’s bull run continues, the question of its future value remains at the forefront of discussions in the cryptocurrency community. Plan B’s S2F model and Ledn CIO’s $92,000 target provide two compelling perspectives on where Bitcoin’s price may be headed. Whether scarcity and the S2F ratio alone drive the cryptocurrency’s value, or if broader market trends and macroeconomic factors play a significant role, remains a subject open for further debate. Regardless, the remarkable rise of Bitcoin and the interest it has generated in recent years solidify its status as a significant player in the global financial landscape.



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